Monthly Archives: October 2011


ST Outlook – Gold (17 October 2011)

There is not very much to say about Gold today. Price has continued to struggle upwards in a very weary manner, and still needs to form a clear 40-day cycle peak. Price is still “rising up” the 20-week FLD, and several other FLD’s. It is expected to break through all of these FLD’s which would […]


ST Outlook – S&P 500 (12 October 2011)

Last week I was favoring another 20-day cycle to elapse before the expected 80-day cycle trough, but as price ripped through the 40-day and 80-day FLD’s on Monday, Sentient Trader user Silent One was vindicated in his early call of the 80-day cycle trough on Tuesday 4 October 2011. But as I have been warning […]


ST Outlook – Gold (10 October 2011)

Our ┬áST Outlook posts have been getting longer and longer as the markets become more fascinating (and volatile) with each passing week. And so today’s brief comments on Gold might be a relief! Last week I discussed the peak in Gold of 6 September 2011, and whether that peak was of 18-month magnitude or 54-month […]


ST Outlook – S&P 500 (5 October 2011)

In last week’s ST Outlook for the S&P 500 I discussed the probability that the peak on 20 September 2011 would be the peak of the current 40-day (and 80-day) cycle, a likelihood that was confirmed as price moved down, “jumping” into the FLD gap. And so now we must turn our attention to identifying […]


ST Outlook – Gold (3 October 2011)

Gold formed a peak on Tuesday 6 September 2011, and is now trapped in a Gap Pause Zone between the 80-day and 20-week FLD’s. The question I would like to consider today is whether the peak on 6 September 2011 was a peak of the 54-month cycle (implying that this is the highest price we […]


ST Outlook – Euro/US Dollar (30 September)

In last week’s Outlook for the Euro/US Dollar forex pair I presented a preferred analysis which “required a few extra days” until the approaching 40-day (and synchronous 80-day trough). This week the Euro has resembled a tired fighter trying to get up off the mat, and it has failed. And so we are still waiting […]