Yearly Archives: 2014

Support at the 20-week FLD

A London Bear

For the past three weeks I have been discussing the move down into the 80-day cycle trough in the Hurst Trading Room podcasts. On Monday I discussed the reasons why I expected the trough to occur “early” – in other words earlier than the average 68 days, and how the FLD’s of various cycles have provided […]

8 waves

Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave 21

I have started writing this post several times over the past years, and have always given up after hours of work, with pages and pages of dense comparisons and similarities between Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave. This time I am going to publish! The problem is that the subject is such a big one, and I […]

A Significant Cycle Trough Forming in AUD/USD 5

Utilizing a Sentient Trader organic analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair starting at the December 1996 high, it appears that the Aussie is headed down into a large cluster of cycle troughs, the largest of which is at least of the 18-month variety.  Inside that cluster of troughs, the 26.4 week cycle is expected now […]


The 40-week trough in November

Watching the Euro 3

In September I discussed reasons why I expected the Euro to turn up in November or December of this year. That time is upon us, and I am watching the Euro carefully to see whether it is going to manage a turn up. I presented various ideas about the magnitude of this trough in September, […]

The 9-year cycle in the S&P 500

The 9-Year Cycle 22

There is a moment that I love when analyzing markets using Hurst’s cyclic principles which is when all the pieces of the puzzle fit into place. It is an “Aha!” moment that removes analysis uncertainty, and suddenly we can see just a bit further into the misty future. Such a moment happened for me when […]

The Next 18 Month Hurst Cycle 4

So here we are with new highs in the $SPX, $NDX, and the DOW. Even the $Nikkei has flashed new highs thanks to the BOJ’s aggressive QE announcement last week. Many world indices continue to lag though such as the $DAX and commodity heavy markets like the $TSX. It is easy to spot where the […]

SPX 1990 daily April 2010_csv_weekly_2014-11-05

A 6-year cycle?

A Spooky Halloween Thought 9

EDIT: This post has sparked a good deal of heated reaction by email. I should explain that this post is not presented in the spirit of being a market call or an absolute forecast. My analysis process is to consider all the possibilities, and to stir up some debate. I do believe that through discussion and […]