Author Archives : David Hickson


About David Hickson

I have been trading for over 20 years, but only had any success after discovering Hurst's cyclic principles. Unable to find any software to speed up the analysis process I created Sentient Trader software, which now pretty much does all the analysis for me. I am a film maker and a TV director, but nowadays I mostly provide consultation services to professional traders and fund managers, helping them to integrate Hurst analysis into their trading. I'm South African and live with my family in Italy.


Two years of support

An Important FLD 4

I know that I tend to bang on a bit about the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation), but it is an extraordinarily important line. When I saw this tweet on Wednesday I knew that we were at an important level in the markets: To understand just how important, here is a chart showing that the 40-week […]


Time To Turn – S&P 500 6

Last week I discussed the implication of the 20-week VTL breach in the S&P 500: That we have seen the peak of the current 40-week cycle in the markets. VTL’s are not as reliable as FLD’s in my experience, but it has been interesting to watch the S&P 500 reach up towards a new peak […]

Watch this level

Yet More On The Euro 6

We have been discussing the Euro a great deal recently. I am expecting a long-term cycle trough to form, and I have mentioned in previous posts how I like to watch the shape of the first 40-day cycle following the formation of a potential trough for confirmation (or not) that it is the big trough we’re expecting. […]

Counting bars

20-week trough in February 2015

The Next Peak 6

In early February I suggested that the 20-week cycle trough had formed early, implying new highs in the S&P 500. We have seen new highs since then, and the 20-week trough seems likely to have occurred at the beginning of February 2015. In November 2014 I forecast an expected time for the 9-year cycle peak […]


The Struggling Euro 10

I have been watching the Euro (see also this post) for signs that the big magnitude trough that I am expecting to form has occurred. In September 2014 I wrote about this trough, and mentioned the difficulty with the sub-division of the 54-month cycle. This makes it very difficult to be confident with a projection […]

A neutral cycle