ST Outlook – S&P 500


Here is the current Sentient Trader Outlook for the S&P500 (data up to 30 August).

The long term picture shows that price is expected to fall into a trough of the 4 1/2 year cycle towards the end of 2011, beginning of 2012.

S&P500 Long Term Analysis

Here is a medium term view where the straddled 40-week trough can be clearly seen, and the likely 20 week trough is positioned on the 9th August. The projection boxes are for the current 40-day cycle.

S&P500 Medium Term Analysis

And here is the short term view, where the current 40-day cycle looks close to it’s peak, after which we expect the market to fall below 1150.

S&P500 Short Term Analysis

We will update this outlook every week. I hope you enjoy our new to-the-point format!


About David Hickson

I have been trading for over 20 years, but only had any success after discovering Hurst's cyclic principles. Unable to find any software to speed up the analysis process I created Sentient Trader software, which now pretty much does all the analysis for me. I am a film maker and a TV director, but nowadays I mostly provide consultation services to professional traders and fund managers, helping them to integrate Hurst analysis into their trading. I'm South African and live with my family in Italy.

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