Category Archives : Analysis

Analysis of the markets


The Perfect Mid-Channel Pause 5

One of the results of the way in which cycles combine to influence financial markets is something Hurst called the “Mid-Channel Pause”. The mid-channel pause is, as the name implies, a pause in price movement which occurs “mid-channel”. But you don’t need to construct any channels in order to identify the mid-channel pause. It is simple […]

The mid-channel pause

A B-category interaction with the FLD?

The Big Bounce 6

Before we look at the markets, have you joined us in the Hurst Trading Room live webinars? They are a lot of fun, and the feedback has been that they are proving very useful, so please join us this Monday: register here. In my last post I discussed some possibilities for the August 2015 trough, including one […]


A Cautionary Tale 7

For some time now I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing in the stock markets, and I have become that irritating analyst who keeps on pointing out the negative. But the speed of the drop in August took me by surprise. I was expecting the symmetry that I discussed in this post to break down […]

A bearish picture

Ray Tomes and Harmonics Theory 4

David Hickson has kindly invited me to join Hurst cycles once again. For those that don’t know me, I am a long time student of cycles and run the Cycles Research Institute web site at http://www.cyclesresearchinstitute.org/ while my personal website is http://ray.tomes.biz/ and I have lots of videos on cycles in YouTube under the Wobbly […]


A July Trough? 1

I wrote recently about the 40-week cycle trough that I am expecting to form soon. At that time I expected the trough to occur either early June 2015, or mid-July 2015, with the latter my preferred option. The market tantalizingly formed a trough in early June, but in my opinion that was most probably a […]

FLD peak = Price trough

26553

S&P 500 – Back on track, but … 18

The S&P 500 seems to have weathered the frequency modulation that has plagued the index for the past several months from a spectral viewpoint. Below is a daily chart with the 40 day wave extracted at the bottom. The effect of the frequency modulation is clearly visible in the first four months of this year, […]