Category Archives : US Markets

Analysis of the US markets


A Cautionary Tale 7

For some time now I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing in the stock markets, and I have become that irritating analyst who keeps on pointing out the negative. But the speed of the drop in August took me by surprise. I was expecting the symmetry that I discussed in this post to break down […]

A bearish picture

FLD peak = Price trough

A July Trough? 1

I wrote recently about the 40-week cycle trough that I am expecting to form soon. At that time I expected the trough to occur either early June 2015, or mid-July 2015, with the latter my preferred option. The market tantalizingly formed a trough in early June, but in my opinion that was most probably a […]


S&P 500 – Back on track, but … 18

The S&P 500 seems to have weathered the frequency modulation that has plagued the index for the past several months from a spectral viewpoint. Below is a daily chart with the 40 day wave extracted at the bottom. The effect of the frequency modulation is clearly visible in the first four months of this year, […]

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The offending spike

Beware The FLD Spike 5

You are probably aware of the fact that I find the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation) a very useful tool. My research (which is a kinder word than obsession) into why the FLD sometimes provides support or resistance instead of being crossed cleanly by price gave rise to the FLD Trading Strategy. One of the […]


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S&P 500 – What’s next? 3

Over the last few weeks the S&P 500, on the surface, has the appearance of being somewhat difficult to analyze and trade. However, if one digs beneath the surface just slightly and brings along a firm understanding of cyclic principles as promulgated by Hurst, the picture is much clearer.   Below is a daily chart […]


An Important FLD 4

I know that I tend to bang on a bit about the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation), but it is an extraordinarily important line. When I saw this tweet on Wednesday I knew that we were at an important level in the markets: To understand just how important, here is a chart showing that the 40-week […]

Two years of support

Watch this level

Time To Turn – S&P 500 6

Last week I discussed the implication of the 20-week VTL breach in the S&P 500: That we have seen the peak of the current 40-week cycle in the markets. VTL’s are not as reliable as FLD’s in my experience, but it has been interesting to watch the S&P 500 reach up towards a new peak […]