An analysis performed according to Hurst’s Cyclic Principles is called a phasing analysis because it involves working out what the phase is of each cycle influencing the market.
A phasing analysis is a wonderfully complex and yet straight-forward process. It is a skill that is learned and perfected, much like learning to play a musical instrument.
Here are recent analyses performed by the team of analysts who contribute to Hurst Cycles:
Gold is always interesting to analyze for a couple of reasons. Firstly, the viewpoints of the participants are usually at polar extremes, the inflationary group that says gold is going to $5000/oz. and beyond, and the deflationary group which is forecasting sub $1000/oz. again. Secondly, gold has a very consistent spectral structure which makes it […]
One of the most enduring, if not the most enduring, trends in the financial markets has been the run of the 30 year US Treasury bond. From its low in September 1981, T-Bond have been on a relentless 35 year uptrend, almost linear in nature. The chart below is a monthly chart of the back-adjusted continuous futures contract. […]
In February this year I was studying a long swing trade for natural gas (/NG Henry Hub). Here is an email I shared with David Hickson and some others privately: I would like your opinion on a trade I am studying. I know you will think it crazy to be looking at the natural […]
Now that the U.S. stock indices have gotten past the distortion in the charts caused by the fundamental interaction of the Brexit vote, they seem to be settling down back into their normal (?) cyclical patterns. The 4 year price wave has formed a low for the umpteenth time according to the spectral parameters set […]
Every trader on the planet is well aware of the events of the last three trading days. An interesting point David espoused in his webinar today was the question as to what extent does a “fundamental interaction” affect the cyclical nature of the market. He felt that they are insignificant and I totally agree. The […]
Although certainly not conclusive, I believe we are several days away from finding out whether the 20 week cycle is dominant and at this point it certainly looks like it may be. A head and shoulder formation has been forming and if the neckline is broken that would certainly put an end to the 40 […]
There has been a lot of interesting discussion over the past several weeks concerning the cyclical state of the market. Most of the commentary has been based on what I refer to as the trough synchronized, simple harmonic relationship, time domain approach to cyclical analysis. I thought I would take this opportunity to throw my […]
One of the reasons why I am skeptical that gold has started a new bull market (ie. multi-year) is the USD and its status. Currencies and gold work off amazingly similar cycles and thus three closely related instruments are gold, the USD Index and the CADUSD pair (Canadian Dollar). The cycles I am working with are […]
Note from author: Writing this article, I have never had in mind to show an exact development of US markets, but one of the possible scenarios. I use Technical Analysis as a tool to screen for risks and opportunities. Instead having thousands of possibilities, I narrow my pool of scenarios to a few of them. […]
Gold is rallying very hard here off the late 2015 lows along with the gold miners. Is this the start of a new gold bull and a persistent rise as we saw from the 2000/2001 lows? Good question. While I had anticipated a rally to start soon in precious metals, I am surprised at its […]
