Stock Market Analysis


Hurst’s original work was based upon his analysis of the US stock markets. And to this day the cycles that he identified 40 years ago are still moving the markets.

 

The 80-day trough 4

In our recent Hurst cycles webinar on 16 October 2017, I discussed the trading opportunity that was presenting itself in the S&P 500 for the market to drop down into an 80 day cycle trough. I also mentioned that I thought the better opportunity would probably come when price bounced out of that 80 day […]

S&P 500

GC ##-## (1 Week) 2017_05-20 week

Gold Revisited 1

  Gold is always interesting to analyze for a couple of reasons. Firstly, the viewpoints of the participants are usually at polar extremes, the inflationary group that says gold is going to $5000/oz. and beyond, and the deflationary group which is forecasting sub $1000/oz. again. Secondly, gold has a very consistent spectral structure which makes it […]


^SP500 (Monthly)  6_1968 - 8_2016

Textbook Hurst 5

Now that the U.S. stock indices have gotten past the distortion in the charts caused by the fundamental interaction of the Brexit vote, they seem to be settling down back into their normal (?) cyclical patterns. The 4 year price wave has formed a low for the umpteenth time according to the spectral parameters set […]


The Perfect Mid-Channel Pause 5

One of the results of the way in which cycles combine to influence financial markets is something Hurst called the “Mid-Channel Pause”. The mid-channel pause is, as the name implies, a pause in price movement which occurs “mid-channel”. But you don’t need to construct any channels in order to identify the mid-channel pause. It is simple […]

The mid-channel pause