Yearly Archives: 2012

Analyzing financial markets according to Hurst’s cyclic principles is a constantly fascinating (and rewarding) process. There are times when the cyclic picture is so clear that it seems too good to be true. At those times I remind myself that the markets are not only cyclical but also constantly surprising, […]

There are times when the markets behave so perfectly (in cyclic terms) that one can be lulled into thinking that there will be no more surprises. At times like this I am grateful to have friends who call me up to point out (with thinly disguised derision) that I was […]

It often seems to me that the financial markets have a wry sense of humor. That sense of humor reveals itself at times that we humans are taking a break from the arduous business of trading the markets, such as is happening over this long Easter weekend. We have been […]

S&P 500 Last week we confirmed the peak of 19 March 2012 as a peak of the 20-day cycle and asked whether it might be a peak of the longer cycles as well. This week the market formed a new, slightly higher peak on Tuesday 27 March 2012 and so […]

The US markets have formed peaks and now the big question is: “was that THE peak?”, in other words is that the expected peak of at least 40-week magnitude, or was that just another small peak on the way up to yet higher levels? Peaks are notoriously complicated when analyzing […]

The big news this week has been that US markets have made “new highs”. This is being peddled by many as a reason to be even more bullish, but as a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian I see this as yet more reason to be cautious and to prepare for a downward move […]

S&P 500 Finally the US stock market succumbed to its “vulnerability to a downward fall” as mentioned last week, and on Tuesday the S&P 500 plunged down through the 40-day FLD, only to find support at the 80-day FLD, which then bounced price straight back up again. I have mentioned […]

S&P500 I am tempted to reach for my thesaurus and search for new ways to describe the continued upward progress of the S&P 500. Limping, faltering, eking, straining? At any rate there is no change to the analysis which I believe is playing out, which indicates that the market is […]

For the second year running, Sentient Trader was selected as a Finalist for “The Technical Analyst Awards 2012”. The Award Ceremony took place at a Gala Dinner at The Waldorf Hotel, London on 19 April 2012. The Judges’ Comments at the Award Ceremony included, “Congratulations to Sentient Trader, for their […]