The US markets squeezed up to new highs over the past week, reminding me why I always treat the “confirmation of a peak” information provided by a VTL cross with a small dose of skepticism (see this post about the breaching of the 20-week VTL). The next cycle event that […]
Yearly Archives: 2015
31 posts
Over the last few weeks the S&P 500, on the surface, has the appearance of being somewhat difficult to analyze and trade. However, if one digs beneath the surface just slightly and brings along a firm understanding of cyclic principles as promulgated by Hurst, the picture is much clearer. […]
I know that I tend to bang on a bit about the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation), but it is an extraordinarily important line. When I saw this tweet on Wednesday I knew that we were at an important level in the markets: To understand just how important, here is […]
Last week I discussed the implication of the 20-week VTL breach in the S&P 500: That we have seen the peak of the current 40-week cycle in the markets. VTL’s are not as reliable as FLD’s in my experience, but it has been interesting to watch the S&P 500 reach […]
I recorded a Hurst Trading Room podcast this week about the fact that the S&P 500 has breached the 20-week VTL. (It was in fact a record-breaking podcast – my shortest ever podcast at a mere 15 minutes!) This breaching of the VTL is true for both of the most […]
We have been discussing the Euro a great deal recently. I am expecting a long-term cycle trough to form, and I have mentioned in previous posts how I like to watch the shape of the first 40-day cycle following the formation of a potential trough for confirmation (or not) that it is […]
One of the more difficult aspects of cyclical analysis in my opinion is correctly dealing with price wave expansion or contraction in a timely manner. If one waits long enough the difficulty will usually resolve itself in an additional cycle. However if the price wave in question is of intermediate length, […]
I am of the opinion that in 2015 we are both fortunate yet possibly hampered but the work started by JM Hurst probably 50 years ago. A quick Google search incorporating his name, Cyclitec, and anything known about him yields very little that we don’t already know and so we […]
2015 is shaping up to be an exciting year. The Gannologists are expecting a 25-30% advance in the market due to this being the “5th year of ascension.” Robert Prechter and the Ellioticians are still looking for the elusive “Grand Super-Cycle Peak” which will usher in a catastrophic decline in […]
In early February I suggested that the 20-week cycle trough had formed early, implying new highs in the S&P 500. We have seen new highs since then, and the 20-week trough seems likely to have occurred at the beginning of February 2015. In November 2014 I forecast an expected time […]