My three-year old son has been struggling this week with the fact that he would like to specify the “surprise” that he gets in his morning snack. I have tried explaining that if one knows what is coming, it can hardly be described as a surprise, but he remains unconvinced, […]
David Hickson
For their April 2012 ‘Cycles Edition’, Stocks & Commodities magazine commissioned an independent review of our Hurst Signals online service. The reviewer, Donald W Prendergast, used the service in the way we recommend. He chose to follow the 40 Day Cycle of the S&P 500 e-mini future contract. After a week of waiting for the […]
I mentioned last week that when the markets exhibit clear cyclic behaviour one should expect surprises, usually in terms of the amplitude and speed of a price move. This week we were surprised by the amplitude of a move, and even more surprised by the fact that it was an […]
Analyzing financial markets according to Hurst’s cyclic principles is a constantly fascinating (and rewarding) process. There are times when the cyclic picture is so clear that it seems too good to be true. At those times I remind myself that the markets are not only cyclical but also constantly surprising, […]
For the second year running, Sentient Trader was selected as a Finalist for the “Best Specialist Product” category in the prestigious “The Technical Analyst Awards 2012″. The Award Ceremony took place at The Waldorf Hotel, London on 19 April 2012. The Judges’ Comments at the Award Ceremony included, “Congratulations to Sentient Trader, for their […]
There are times when the markets behave so perfectly (in cyclic terms) that one can be lulled into thinking that there will be no more surprises. At times like this I am grateful to have friends who call me up to point out (with thinly disguised derision) that I was […]
It often seems to me that the financial markets have a wry sense of humor. That sense of humor reveals itself at times that we humans are taking a break from the arduous business of trading the markets, such as is happening over this long Easter weekend. We have been […]
S&P 500 Last week we confirmed the peak of 19 March 2012 as a peak of the 20-day cycle and asked whether it might be a peak of the longer cycles as well. This week the market formed a new, slightly higher peak on Tuesday 27 March 2012 and so […]
The US markets have formed peaks and now the big question is: “was that THE peak?”, in other words is that the expected peak of at least 40-week magnitude, or was that just another small peak on the way up to yet higher levels? Peaks are notoriously complicated when analyzing […]
The big news this week has been that US markets have made “new highs”. This is being peddled by many as a reason to be even more bullish, but as a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian I see this as yet more reason to be cautious and to prepare for a downward move […]