Cyclic analysts are familiar with the feeling of deja vu as the cycles repeat over and over again in the markets. Of course there is enough variation to keep us on our toes, and because of the multiple cycles which influence financial markets the situation is always a little different. […]
David Hickson
171 posts
For the past three weeks I have been discussing the move down into the 80-day cycle trough in the Hurst Trading Room podcasts. On Monday I discussed the reasons why I expected the trough to occur “early” – in other words earlier than the average 68 days, and how the FLD’s […]
A big moment for a Hurstonian is when price touches one of Hurst’s cyclic tools. (I am stealing William’s term Hurstonian, which sounds so much better than Hurstite, or Hurstie and is so much more fun than Hurst Analyst) As you are no doubt aware Hurst defined two cyclic tools, the FLD (Future […]
I have started writing this post several times over the past years, and have always given up after hours of work, with pages and pages of dense comparisons and similarities between Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave. This time I am going to publish! The problem is that the subject is such […]
In September I discussed reasons why I expected the Euro to turn up in November or December of this year. That time is upon us, and I am watching the Euro carefully to see whether it is going to manage a turn up. I presented various ideas about the magnitude […]
Performing a Hurst analysis is all about identifying the positions of cycle troughs in the price movement. But when the market is moving strongly, as it is at the moment, it can be very difficult to identify any troughs at all as can be seen in this chart of the […]
There is a moment that I love when analyzing markets using Hurst’s cyclic principles which is when all the pieces of the puzzle fit into place. It is an “Aha!” moment that removes analysis uncertainty, and suddenly we can see just a bit further into the misty future. Such a […]
EDIT: This post has sparked a good deal of heated reaction by email. I should explain that this post is not presented in the spirit of being a market call or an absolute forecast. My analysis process is to consider all the possibilities, and to stir up some debate. I do […]
I have spent a good deal of this week wondering whether we were bouncing out of a 40-week or 18-month cycle trough, and John’s post about the outstanding 9-year FLD projection and the discussion surrounding that prompted me to sit down and seriously consider the alternatives. First here is the […]
Hurst’s Cycle Tools (the VTL and FLD) are very useful as analysis tools, helping us know when a trough or peak has formed in the market. And they are useful for trading, by providing entry and exit levels. But they are also clearly levels that have some significance to the market. […]