A big moment for a Hurstonian is when price touches one of Hurst’s cyclic tools. (I am stealing William’s term Hurstonian, which sounds so much better than Hurstite, or Hurstie and is so much more fun than Hurst Analyst) As you are no doubt aware Hurst defined two cyclic tools, the FLD (Future […]
Global Markets
27 posts
Performing a Hurst analysis is all about identifying the positions of cycle troughs in the price movement. But when the market is moving strongly, as it is at the moment, it can be very difficult to identify any troughs at all as can be seen in this chart of the […]
I think this is my first post looking at the $TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) for this blog site. The TSX is largely driven by commodity markets as energy and materials make up almost forty percent of the index weighting. This commodity weighting is down substantially from the highs achieved in […]
Hurst’s Principle of Commonality states that financial markets around the world move with a good deal in common. What this means in practical terms is that troughs tend to form at the same times in all markets, and to a lesser extent peaks too form at the same time. However […]
Should we trade the next interaction with the 20-day FLD or not? I would like to present a novel way of answering that question. To receive these blogs as soon as they are posted Join/Like/Follow Us. If you don’t do social media – click to Join Feedburner to receive these blogs […]
Stock markets around the world have been reaching up to new highs recently, but as they continue to reach upwards I am beginning to see some cracks appear, and I suspect that we are going to witness some weakness in these markets in the weeks ahead. In this post I […]
Sometimes there seems to be so much to say about what is happening in the markets, and sometimes … well, there isn’t really. This is one of the latter times. Stock markets have been thrashing about a bit as they come to terms with the fact that the dominant cycle […]
Early this year I expected important turning points for precious metals. This was primarily based on a long term USD analysis. Precious metals have turned quite bearish in recent months suggesting long term secular tops have been seen in the metals. While this is still likely the case, a 4 […]
Hurst’s Principle of Variation tells us to expect that cycle wavelengths vary from their average length, resulting in a dynamic and constantly changing cyclic model. Hurst never discussed by how much a cycle wavelength can vary, and there are times when we cannot say for certain what the magnitude of […]
The ratios between the wavelengths of the cycles in Hurst’s Nominal Cyclic Model are mostly 2:1, in other words each longer cycle in the model has a wavelength twice as long as the cycle shorter than it (with the exception of the 18-month to 54-month ratio). The result is that […]