There is no doubt that the story for 2015 will be volatility. We are two full trading weeks into the year and we have: 1) Oil hitting new lows near $45, 2) The Swiss National Bank removing the Swiss Franc peg to the Euro, 3) $USB 30 Year Treasury bonds […]
Analysis
108 posts
Last week I pointed out some bearish signs in the stock markets, a well timed post as it turned out because the US markets fell all week (at least until Friday morning when I am writing this). But interestingly the DAX spent the whole week going up (apart from some […]
Cyclic analysts are familiar with the feeling of deja vu as the cycles repeat over and over again in the markets. Of course there is enough variation to keep us on our toes, and because of the multiple cycles which influence financial markets the situation is always a little different. […]
It is often stated that the world stock market indices have similar cyclical structures. This is particularly true with respect to the US indices and the European indices (British,French,German). After watching David’s latest HTR video I decided to take a look from a spectral viewpoint. It turns out that they […]
For the past three weeks I have been discussing the move down into the 80-day cycle trough in the Hurst Trading Room podcasts. On Monday I discussed the reasons why I expected the trough to occur “early” – in other words earlier than the average 68 days, and how the FLD’s […]
A big moment for a Hurstonian is when price touches one of Hurst’s cyclic tools. (I am stealing William’s term Hurstonian, which sounds so much better than Hurstite, or Hurstie and is so much more fun than Hurst Analyst) As you are no doubt aware Hurst defined two cyclic tools, the FLD (Future […]
I have started writing this post several times over the past years, and have always given up after hours of work, with pages and pages of dense comparisons and similarities between Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave. This time I am going to publish! The problem is that the subject is such […]
Utilizing a Sentient Trader organic analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair starting at the December 1996 high, it appears that the Aussie is headed down into a large cluster of cycle troughs, the largest of which is at least of the 18-month variety. Inside that cluster of troughs, the 26.4 […]
In September I discussed reasons why I expected the Euro to turn up in November or December of this year. That time is upon us, and I am watching the Euro carefully to see whether it is going to manage a turn up. I presented various ideas about the magnitude […]
Performing a Hurst analysis is all about identifying the positions of cycle troughs in the price movement. But when the market is moving strongly, as it is at the moment, it can be very difficult to identify any troughs at all as can be seen in this chart of the […]