Yearly Archives: 2011

Four weeks ago I debated the magnitude of the trough on 4 October 2011. Either the 80-day cycle or the 18-month cycle was the longest cycle experiencing a trough on that date. The debate is still unresolved, although I continue to favor the 80-day cycle option. The first 40-day cycle since […]

Aren’t the markets constantly fascinating? If I had written this Outlook yesterday, I would have been questioning again the designation of the trough on 4 October 2011 as an 80-day cycle trough, which places us within the final 80-day cycle leading into the 18-month cycle trough that we have been […]

I am back from my travels and recovering from the obligatory “airline flu” (the flight from Toronto to Rome is not really a whole lot of fun), and it is now time to look at Gold again. The price movement has been perfectly in line with our analysis, and so there […]

There is not very much to say about Gold today. Price has continued to struggle upwards in a very weary manner, and still needs to form a clear 40-day cycle peak. Price is still “rising up” the 20-week FLD, and several other FLD’s. It is expected to break through all […]

Last week we identified the trough of 4 October 2011 as being a trough of either the 80-day cycle, or a trough of the 18-month cycle (the less preferred analysis). That was a mere 3 days after the trough had formed in price, and now, 10 days after the trough […]

Last week I was favoring another 20-day cycle to elapse before the expected 80-day cycle trough, but as price ripped through the 40-day and 80-day FLD’s on Monday, Sentient Trader user Silent One was vindicated in his early call of the 80-day cycle trough on Tuesday 4 October 2011. But […]

Our  ST Outlook posts have been getting longer and longer as the markets become more fascinating (and volatile) with each passing week. And so today’s brief comments on Gold might be a relief! Last week I discussed the peak in Gold of 6 September 2011, and whether that peak was […]

Last week we were waiting for the 40-day (and synchronous 80-day) cycle trough to form, and it is possible that this week our patient wait was rewarded with the formation of a trough on Tuesday 4 October 2011. According to our current analysis this trough should be the expected 80-day […]

In last week’s ST Outlook for the S&P 500 I discussed the probability that the peak on 20 September 2011 would be the peak of the current 40-day (and 80-day) cycle, a likelihood that was confirmed as price moved down, “jumping” into the FLD gap. And so now we must […]