The Envelope Nominal Model The system use 3 different Envelopes (sometimes 4) based on a Centered Moving Average to which I add or substract a fixed value which is a « Gann’s Octave » or a subdivision of the said Octave. The nominal “model” (average, theoretical) I use is based on 32, […]
Yearly Archives: 2015
31 posts
It has now been about 45 years since J M Hurst first discovered a nominal model in cycles. That time period alone should make us wonder if it is still the same today. Perhaps if you’re talking about the monument at Mount Rushmore, you should expect little change at all. […]
Before we look at the markets, have you joined us in the Hurst Trading Room live webinars? They are a lot of fun, and the feedback has been that they are proving very useful, so please join us this Monday: register here. In my last post I discussed some possibilities for […]
For some time now I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing in the stock markets, and I have become that irritating analyst who keeps on pointing out the negative. But the speed of the drop in August took me by surprise. I was expecting the symmetry that I discussed in […]
This is a comparison that I did some years ago. David asked about Kondratieff cycle now. I think the correct cycles to look at for stock market are 71 year, 35.5 year etc. This shows why.
David Hickson has kindly invited me to join Hurst cycles once again. For those that don’t know me, I am a long time student of cycles and run the Cycles Research Institute web site at http://www.cyclesresearchinstitute.org/ while my personal website is http://ray.tomes.biz/ and I have lots of videos on cycles […]
I am so accustomed to the cycle trader’s approach of always looking ahead to the next event that I sometimes forget to “finish the story” and tie up the loose ends. For the past few months I have been writing about when to expect the 40-week cycle trough. That trough […]
I wrote recently about the 40-week cycle trough that I am expecting to form soon. At that time I expected the trough to occur either early June 2015, or mid-July 2015, with the latter my preferred option. The market tantalizingly formed a trough in early June, but in my opinion […]
The S&P 500 seems to have weathered the frequency modulation that has plagued the index for the past several months from a spectral viewpoint. Below is a daily chart with the 40 day wave extracted at the bottom. The effect of the frequency modulation is clearly visible in the first […]
You are probably aware of the fact that I find the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation) a very useful tool. My research (which is a kinder word than obsession) into why the FLD sometimes provides support or resistance instead of being crossed cleanly by price gave rise to the FLD […]