Note from author: Writing this article, I have never had in mind to show an exact development of US markets, but one of the possible scenarios. I use Technical Analysis as a tool to screen for risks and opportunities. Instead having thousands of possibilities, I narrow my pool of scenarios […]
Global Markets
27 posts
One of the results of the way in which cycles combine to influence financial markets is something Hurst called the “Mid-Channel Pause”. The mid-channel pause is, as the name implies, a pause in price movement which occurs “mid-channel”. But you don’t need to construct any channels in order to identify the […]
I wrote recently about the 40-week cycle trough that I am expecting to form soon. At that time I expected the trough to occur either early June 2015, or mid-July 2015, with the latter my preferred option. The market tantalizingly formed a trough in early June, but in my opinion […]
The US markets squeezed up to new highs over the past week, reminding me why I always treat the “confirmation of a peak” information provided by a VTL cross with a small dose of skepticism (see this post about the breaching of the 20-week VTL). The next cycle event that […]
I wrote about the $TSX in September as it broke the 40 week FLD. The TSX started its correction lower last fall before US markets, this on the back of a very weak energy sector. Despite oil’s recent bounce (/CL made a 45 week low late Jan.), the weakness in […]
I am often asked “In what markets do Hurst Cycles work best?” I have always answered that Hurst Cycles work equally well in any liquid, well-traded market. But I now qualify that statement, by adding: ” … to the extent that it is not being manipulated”. The word manipulation generally has […]
Last week I pointed out some bearish signs in the stock markets, a well timed post as it turned out because the US markets fell all week (at least until Friday morning when I am writing this). But interestingly the DAX spent the whole week going up (apart from some […]
Cyclic analysts are familiar with the feeling of deja vu as the cycles repeat over and over again in the markets. Of course there is enough variation to keep us on our toes, and because of the multiple cycles which influence financial markets the situation is always a little different. […]
It is often stated that the world stock market indices have similar cyclical structures. This is particularly true with respect to the US indices and the European indices (British,French,German). After watching David’s latest HTR video I decided to take a look from a spectral viewpoint. It turns out that they […]
For the past three weeks I have been discussing the move down into the 80-day cycle trough in the Hurst Trading Room podcasts. On Monday I discussed the reasons why I expected the trough to occur “early” – in other words earlier than the average 68 days, and how the FLD’s […]